L.P. Sinaga, H. Nasution, D. Kartika
Covid-19 is a type of virus that infects the respiratory tract or is also known as severe acute respiratory syndrome Corona virus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). Researchers through this study were trying to build a mathematical model of the spread of the Covid-19 virus and analyzed the stability of its critical points. This virus dynamic model was built based on the interaction between the suspect group with the exposed group and the interaction with the infected group. The virus spread model in this study consists of two critical points, namely a disease-free critical point and a disease endemic critical point. The two critical points will be stable if they meet the requirements for certain parameter values. Numerical simulations of virus dynamics in Indonesia were carried out using data on the number of susceptible people, the number under monitoring, the number of the infected, the number of cures and the number of deaths due to the virus. These data were obtained from the Ministry of Health of the Republic of Indonesia. Based on the data obtained, it was found that the simulation model of stability reached a critical point in a very long time. Therefore, treatment or vaccines are needed as a step to reduce the dynamics of Covid-19. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.
Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Medan, Jalan Willem Iskandar Pasar V, Medan, 20221, Indonesia
